Business Monitor International has published an update to the Sri Lanka Telecommunications Report for fourth quarter 2010. The new report has revised the its forecasts on Sri Lankan communication markets, including but not limited to fixed-line, internet and broadband services markets extensively with fresh data from authorities, operators and industry associations in Sri Lanka. The mobile market forecasts remain the same due to lack of data from Sri Lankas five mobile operators.
Notable are the downgrade of the fixed line growth forecasts even though with the new avenues to build communication lines in the North and East of the country. There is a positive growth but I assume it will be more visible in the year 2012 or so. The aging PSTN has been suffering and even some wireless local loops WLL, have been taken off line by some of the operators. The report believes that each of the next five years will see nominal positive growth, in contrast to our previous forecasts for steady increases to 2014 in the Sri Lankas Fixed Line Telecommunication Market.
There is some overlap with the increase of broadband lines in recent times, as both PSTN and CDMA WLL connections are increasingly being used to deliver broadband services to Sri Lankans looking to surf the net, get their daily information dose as according to the news reaching us, print news being more and more polarized. Yet the new data show that fixed broadband connections grew less strongly in 2009 than had been expected, but the market was bolstered by growing interest in Sri Lankan WiMAX and 3G/3.5G mobile telephone networks for broadband access. Data from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka suggest that there were 70,000 WiMAX/3G subscribers at the end of 2009 which, when added to fixed broadband subscriber numbers, pushes up our growth forecasts quite significantly. The analysts expect broadband penetration to reach 21.3% by the end of 2014, up from 1.2% at the end of 2009.
There is a change in the mobile broadband usage in Sri Lanka thus giving the analysts an opportunity to begin forecasting 3G service usage, which was lacking Previously. The price wars of Mobile broadband service in 2009 helped to make 3G services more affordable, and it is believed there were 95,000 3G subscribers at the end of the year, representing 0.7% of the mobile market as a whole. The report expects 3G to account for just 2.5% of the mobile market by 2014, pointing at the cost being a major hurdle to mass market adoption.
Following is the table of contents of the Sri Lanka Telecommunications Report Q4 2010 Published by Business Monitor International on Aug 20, 2010 , spaning 78 pages;
Executive Summary SWOT Sri Lanka Wireline (Fixed-Line And Broadband) SWOT Sri Lanka Mobile SWOT Sri Lanka Political SWOT Sri Lanka Economic SWOT Sri Lanka Business Environment SWOT Business Environment Rankings Asia Sri Lanka Industry Forecasts Mobile Table: Sri Lanka Telecoms Sector – Mobiles – Historical Data & Forecasts ARPU Table: BMI Telecoms – Mobile ARPU – Historical Data And Forecasts (LKR) Fixed Line Table: Sri Lanka Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts Internet Table: Sri Lanka Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts Market Data Analysis Mobile Market Table: Sri Lanka Wireless Market, Q110 Table: Sri Lanka Wireless Market Net Additions, Q110 Subscriber Mix & ARPU 3G Mobile Contract Wins Mobile Content Regional Outlook Table: Asia Mobile VAS Market By Service, 2009 (US$bn) Country Outlook Value-Added Services Timeline Table: Selected VAS Services Mobile Operator Data Table: Sri Lanka Mobile Market Overview Table: Etisalat Lanka Table: Hutchison Lanka Table: Dialog Table: Mobitel Fixed Line Table: Sri Lanka Fixed-Line Market, Q409 Provincial Fixed-Line Markets Provincial Distribution of Fixed Line Phones, December 2009 Internet & Broadband SLT Dialog Telekom WiMAX Wireline (Fixed Line & Broadband) Developments Table: Wireline Developments, 2008-2010 Regulatory Environment Table: Sri Lanka: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities Competition Licensing Table: Licences Granted Under S.17, Sri Lanka Telecommunications Act 1991 (as amended) Interconnection Industry Developments Regulatory Developments Competitive Landscape Competitor Analysis Table: Key Players – Sri Lanka Telecoms Sector Company Monitor Cisco Systems Table: Cisco Systems: Overall Financial Performance (US$bn) Table: Cisco Systems: Major Contracts Awarded In Asia (2010) Operator Profiles Sri Lanka Telecom (SLT) Hutchison Lanka Dialog Telekom Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview Fixed Line Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview Broadband Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview Mobile Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview Country Snapshot: Sri Lanka Demographic Data Section 1: Population Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 Section 2: Education And Healthcare Table: Education, 2002-2005 Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 Glossary Of Terms Table: Glossary Of Terms BMI Methodology How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Table: Weighting Of Indicators Table: Ratings Indicators Sources